Grim Going For Al Qaeda In The Hinterlands
Unwanted Houseguests
Pushed out of Al Anbar, pushed out of Baghdad, Al Qaeda is left to strike in mostly inhospitable territory. A week or so ago, I told you that in the wake of both the Al Anbar and Diyala offensives, Al Qaeda would initiate sporadic strikes in Kurdistan and the remote desert towns on the Iranian border. The first signs of this new situation appeared yesterday and today. There were large strikes south of Kiruk in Armili and in Diayala near the Iranian border. Now as terrible as these bombings are, they are not a good sign for Al Qaeda, because it is clear that they can no longer operate in the key Baghdad/Anbar population centers, and more significantly, because it means they are left to operate in strictly non-Sunni areas. Notice that today’s strike that killed 100 happened in the remote town of Armili, anomylous in that it has enclaves of Sunnis around it. Overall, Al Qaeda must try to house, sleep, supply themselves, and in function amongst a hostile population. It will be rough going to say the least. Given that they have no chance of gaining local aid by sympathy in these new areas, they will have to resort strictly to terror and violence to get what they need. And the indigenous pool of recruits has now dried up.
As U.S. and Iraqi forces chase them into the hinterlands, and the Kurds take care of business in their homeland, Al Qaeda will be pinned down on two fronts, fighting two enemies: coalition forces and the locals amongst whom they are trying to live and operate. Prepare for slaughters of peasants like this, and prepare not to hear about it from the MSM. The MSM will only report Al Qaeda’s bombings like today’s, but not what is actually important: the hows, whys and implications of them. The MSM is dedicated to a politically motivated mantra of hopelessness. The White House is at stake.
And, as I also predicted a few days ago, Al Qaeda’s hotel bombing murder of a handful of Anbar Sunni sheiks who were U.S. allies, would backfire on them. Such a strike would only further galvinize the Sunnis of Iraq to further destroy Al Qaeda. Today’s summit of Sunni Sheiks in Ramadi attested to that. And again, Al Qaeda seems to be in desperate denial of the fact that without being able to blend into, and be supported by, the Sunni communities of Iraq, they cannot survive for very long at all.
And as for the last major enemy, Maliki today began to publicly take on Al Sadr with some very incendiary rhetoric, demanding that Al Sadr’s men be disarmed. Let’s see if he backs up those words with the requisite action.
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This is the kind of reporting I’ve been looking for for almost 4 years now. Great job, Pat. When the last of Al Qaeda has been rounded up or killed and the Iraqis get their act together next year, what will the drive-by media have to say? Who will get the credit? The MSM will start trumpeting the call of the constipated chickens on the left: Where’s bin Laden? He promised to get bin Laden. And so on and so forth. Generations from now, there will be statues of GWB in the middle east.
July 7th, 2007 at 5:35 pmOut-fucking-standing.
July 7th, 2007 at 8:35 pmThe bombing in Kurdistan was horrendous. But I was expecting it after a long pause from all the violence, and because Bush and all the military leaders have been telling us to sort of expect it. Of course, when it finally happened, the MSM jumped on it and declared that things have gotten worse- y’know, while totally ignoring all the positive things and then endlessly yapping about how the London art world does not glorify “the invasion”.
The troops are winning, al-Q is close to getting wiped off the planet, but the media chooses to ignore it. Strange.
July 7th, 2007 at 11:11 pmAlmost feels like a race against time, here.
The ominous date of September 15th looming on the horizon, AQ on the run, and this Maliki thing with Sadr. Although I’m not so sure Maliki isn’t talking out of two sides of his mouth.
Did he suddenly grow a pair?
Finishing off AQ in Iraq seems more of a possibility than ever, but with this baathist infiltration of Mahdi, all they need to do is stir shit up.
That Tet idea; couple that with the MSM’s push of camel spit futility, sprinkle in a few Republican ship-jumpers, throw in a sneaky ferret like the Iranian theocracy sicking their little dogs here and there, and add a few Saudi warlord special deliveries to their sunni cousins and you’ve got a little trouble.
Are we going to get jerked up short of the finish line?
If Israel has been waiting for the right time to hit some underground facilities in Iran…
July 8th, 2007 at 12:32 am