Americans Waking Up: Number Of Democrats In US Declines To 39.2%
Saturday, August 02, 2008
Rasmussen Reports
During July, the number of Americans who consider themselves to be Democrats fell two percentage points to 39.2%. That’s the first time since January that the number of Democrats has fallen below 41% (see history from January 2004 to present).
While the number of Democrats declined, there was virtually no change in the number of Republicans. In July, 31.6% said they were Republicans, the fourth straight month that number has been below 31.4% and 31.6%.
The Democrats now have a 7.6 percentage point advantage over the Republicans, down from a 9.5 percentage point advantage in June and 10.1 percentage points in May.
Rasmussen Reports tracks this information based upon telephone interviews with approximately 15,000 adults per month and has been doing so since November 2002.
Among men, 34% are Democrats, 33% Republican. Forty-four percent (44%) of women are Democrats, and just 30% claim the GOP as their party.
Forty-one percent (41%) of government employees are Democrats while 31% are Republicans. Among entrepreneurs, 36% are Republican, 34% Democrat. Those who work for someone else in the private sector lean Democratic by a 38% to 31% margin.
In January and February, while Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were in the early stages of the battle for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the number of Americans who considered themselves to be Democrats surged to record highs.
In 2004, the Democrats began the year with a 2.3 percentage point edge over the GOP. That grew to 4.0 points by March before moving in the Republican direction for the rest of the year. By Election Day in 2004, the edge for Democrats was a mere 1.6 percentage points.
In 2006, the Democrats began the year with just a 1.6 percentage point advantage. That grew to 6.1 percentage points by November.
These results are based upon tracking surveys of 15,000 adults per month. The margin of sampling error for the sample is less than one percentage point, with a 95% level of confidence. Please keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not Likely Voters.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows Barack Obama with a modest advantage in the race for the White House. The same is true when you look at the Electoral College. Democrats continue to have a significant advantage on ten key issues tracked by Rasmussen Reports and lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
Be respectful of others and their opinions. Inflammatory remarks and inane leftist drivel will be deleted. It ain’t about free speech, remember you’re in a private domain. My website, my prerogative.
If you can't handle using your real email address, don't bother posting a comment.
This has ramifications for all those so called “polls”. If true it proves that the information reported on “normalized” polls is total bullshit. Do not believe a single poll that does not expressly include demographic distribution of those polled, along with their ‘normalization’ information. The so called ‘pollsters’ often collect data from a group distribution like 67% democrat, 30% republican, and 3% independant then report the results as reflective of ‘likely’ voters, absolute bullshit. One word, Manipulation.
August 2nd, 2008 at 2:49 pmTrue, But even at the “fair” polls, if those numbers reflected who’d win tomorrow it’d be McCain. Unless Obama is +7% the 5% rule will keep him from winning.
August 2nd, 2008 at 3:02 pmWhen the smoke clears I think the polls and the media will eat a big bowl of shit again.
August 2nd, 2008 at 3:39 pmStill a huge problem. NO ONE is running against Pelosi!!! A conservative in that district needs to run against this witch.
August 2nd, 2008 at 3:39 pmModerate Dems will not vote for Obama.
August 2nd, 2008 at 3:40 pmEven if these numbers are correct, a large percentage of the DemoRat party are age 18-25.
That’s why Puff Daddy Doody Diddy’s “Vote or Die” campaign fizzled. They were too lazy to get out of bed. Or too stoned to give a damn.
Now it’s “Obama or Die”. That moron needs to RECOGNIZE !!!!
August 2nd, 2008 at 3:42 pmPolls are 100% retarded, with a 0% margin of error
August 2nd, 2008 at 4:33 pmYeah she and Boxer/Feinstein have been blights coming out of The People Republic of California for some time now. We’ve tried but we keep getting blown out of the water. To many damn libs in La and SF.
August 2nd, 2008 at 5:16 pmPolls are 100% retarded, with a 0% margin of error
—————————–
I always said: Strippers & Flags -
The two things polls are only good for.
August 2nd, 2008 at 5:31 pmhaha, I agree
August 2nd, 2008 at 5:54 pmThese statistics are largely meaningless anyway. The media has been pimping the dhimmicrat Kool-Aid for so long that many who think they are dhimmi’s are actually much more conservative than they lead one to believe. Ask anyone who says they are democrat what they believe in. Abortion or no abortion. High taxes or lower taxes. work harder or welfare. Believe in God, or atheist. Keep the questions very general, the answers will surprise you. They just think they’re on the other side because all the “cool people” are, and conservatism is, you know..square..old school, so to speak.
August 2nd, 2008 at 6:04 pmthese nit wits won’t vote anyway…. mark it down, after hussein looses the election, we will hear about voter and machine problems for months, maybe years.
August 3rd, 2008 at 8:42 amif he wins, media will say the system worked almost flawlessly.
the GOP needs to start hammering pelosi and reid on drilling, let Obamessiah stab them in the back as well to save his own campaign. that should bring the party numbers even closer than 7.6%.
if we can get it down to 6% we will win..
August 3rd, 2008 at 9:01 amPelosi needs to be POLED
August 3rd, 2008 at 10:49 amAmerican Infidel….
Hate to tell you this but Cindy Sheehan turned in a petition with more than enough signatures to put her on the ballot to run again Pelosi.
While I don’t care for Cindy, the traitor to her son, it would be nice to see someone knock ol Nancy for a loop and boot her out of Office. All that Power down the toilet.
August 3rd, 2008 at 12:18 pm