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Jobless Rates In West Top 10%, Expected To Rise Even Further



Jun 19, 2009 3 Comments ›› Erik Wong

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WASHINGTON (AP) – The unemployment rate in the West jumped over 10 percent last month, the first time that regional threshold has been broken in about 25 years. On the state level, eight set record-highs and only two—Nebraska and Vermont—did not report increases.

The Labor Department reported Friday that 48 states and the District of Columbia saw employment conditions deteriorate last month. The fallout from the longest recession since World War II, was the worst in Michigan as automakers cut tens of thousands of jobs. Its unemployment rate rose to 14.1 percent.

The West region reported the highest jobless rate at 10.1 percent. The last time any region had a rate of at least 10 percent was September 1983, when the country was emerging from a severe recession.

The region is home to California, where the jobless rate jumped to a record 11.5 percent last month, Nevada, where it’s a record 11.3 percent, and other states that have been slammed when the housing boom went bust—snatching jobs and wealth.

The other six states that set new highs on records dating to 1976 were: North Carolina, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Florida and Georgia.

Nebraska’s jobless rate dipped last month, while Vermont’s was flat.

On the layoffs front, Arizona and Florida suffered the largely monthly percentage decreases, followed by Oklahoma and Arkansas, Kentucky and Michigan.

Joblessness is rising as companies lay off workers and turn to other cost-saving measures, such as trimming hours and freezing or slicing wages, to survive the recession. Housing, credit and financial problems—the worst since the 1930s—have sent the economy into a tailspin.

Factories, construction companies, retailers and financial companies are among the industries that have slashed the most jobs. U.S. manufacturers have suffered a double whammy: U.S. consumers have pulled back along with foreign customers, who are dealing with their own economic troubles.

The national jobless rate has hit a quarter-century high of 9.4 percent, and there’s more pain ahead as millions of unemployed Americans find scarce opportunities to land new jobs.

Even if the recession ends later this year as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and other economists predict, the U.S. unemployment rate will keep rising. Companies won’t be in any mood to ramp up hiring until they feel certain their own sales and profits are on the rebound and any economic recovery will have staying power.

Against that backdrop, the U.S. unemployment rate is expected to hit 10 percent this year. Some believe it could rise as high 11 percent by the summer of 2010 before it starts to make a slow descent. The highest rate since World War II was 10.8 percent at the end of 1982.

After Michigan, the state with the second-highest jobless rate in May was Oregon at 12.4 percent, followed by Rhode Island and South Carolina at 12.1 percent each. California’s was fourth-highest in the country.

The precious-few bright spots: North Dakota and Nebraska each reported the lowest unemployment rate at 4.4 percent. North Dakota has been helped by its oil-production and extraction work, while Nebraska was supported by farm businesses. Neither state got carried away with the housing boom, and hasn’t suffered the huge hits to household wealth like California.

By region, the Midwest had the second-highest rate, at 9.8 percent, underscoring the toll of job losses in manufacturing. The South’s unemployment rate was 8.9 percent, and the Northeast had the lowest at 8.3 percent.


  • Fred

    We won’t see it under 9% for at least a few years. I predict that the slow rebound will hit inflationary winds in 2010 and 2011, and be less contained by 2012, which means the Fed will apply the brakes. That means a turn back to recession. Obonga’s going to be out of office in Jan. 2013. Hopefully, at that point we will be reversing all the harmful measures his administration has and will have taken which are deepening the malaise.

    It will be morning again for America, but it’s going to be awhile before that happens.

    This will mean that the Democrats and “progressives” will be so discredited, on the economy and in foreign policy, that it may be generations before they are trusted again.

    • FIU Alum

      I agree with your assesment in the real world economy.

      Now what the slavish for Barry press reports in 2011 will be an entirely other matter

    • jc13

      However, unleass real leadership emerges from the Rupublican party, pushing fiscal responsibility and less government, we will be where we were during the Bush years. We need a return to conservative governance!

      Being from California, the Republicans here need a complete overhaul and change of leadership.