Rasmussen: Palin Crushes Obama
If the 2012 presidential election were held today, President Obama and possible Republican nominee Mitt Romney would be all tied up at 45% each, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%.
In both match-ups, seven percent (7%) like some other candidate, with three percent (3%) undecided.
Palin is second only to Romney as the presidential candidate Republican voters say right now that they’ll vote for in 2012 state GOP primaries. But she’s also one of two candidates they least hope wins the party’s nomination.
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Just 21% of voters nationwide say Palin should run as an independent if she loses the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. Sixty-three percent (63%) say the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee should not run as an independent. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.
If Romney secured the GOP nomination and Palin chose to run as an independent candidate, Obama would win the resulting three-way race with 44% of the vote. Romney is the choice of 33% of the voters under that scenario, with Palin a distant third with 16% support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
Last November, Obama defeated Republican presidential nominee John McCain by a 53% to 46% margin.
When Romney is the Republican nominee, he beats Obama among unaffiliated voters 48% to 41%. But when Palin is the GOP candidate, unaffiliated voters prefer Obama by a 47% to 41% margin.
Men prefer the Republican over Obama whether it’s Romney or Palin, while women like the president better in both match-ups. Palin continues to fare more poorly among women than her male rivals.
In a three-way race, Palin hurts Romney by drawing 28% Republican support. Romney captures 52% of the GOP vote in that scenario.
In a three way race, unaffiliated voters break 40% for the president, 39% for Romney and 14% for Palin.
Nearly one-third of Republicans (32%) say Palin should run as an independent is she fails to get the party’s nomination.
But 40% of Republican voters say Palin’s decision to resign as governor of Alaska hurts her chances of winning the party’s presidential nomination in 2012.
Those who say economic and fiscal issues are their biggest concerns make up the majority of Republican voters, and Romney runs best among those voters if the 2012 GOP Presidential Primary in their state was held today. Palin is the top choice for those Republicans who put national security first and ties Romney for first among voters who list economic issues alone as the priority.
In mid-May, 37% of Republican voters said their party was leaderless, but this was a major improvement from March when 68% felt that way.
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I saw Palin up in the Scranton PA area last year. She can get a crowd fired up no doubt.
If! and here’s the ‘IF’. If Sarah Palin stays Sarah Palin, think of an Old Steam Locomotive leaving the Station. Slow at the start, wheels might slip on the start. But once she gets going. A mighty sight to hear, watch, follow and jump on board at the next station.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yluE-aIXnxk
And correct me if I’m wrong but Steam Engines Are the most powerful engines still today?
Let’s move past Palin.
She was a McCain gimmick.
On the eyes, she’s a massive upgrade from many of the male counterparts we have to see.
She’s certainly a competent governor.
Better than Hillary and Obama (but then again, so’s a toilet seat)…but enough is enough with Palin.
Where’s the Indiana Gov? Texas? Louisiana? Where are the people who are NOT going to draw so much fire from the media and psycho Leftists?
You know, Palin is a lot like some of the minority Supreme Court nominees. She is qualified, but they will never accept her. THE LEFTIES WANT THE HONOR OF THE FIRST FEMALE PRESIDENT…just like they wanted the first Hispanic justice and shot down Estrada. And so they will STOP AT NOTHING to destroy her (and we have the physical antithesis of Palin in Sottomayor, one butt-ugly, angry Statist).
This election’s going to be as fixed as any in South America anyway unless we start taking ACORN apart and competing with them on the ground and in the courts.
And BTW…do we have a Conservative politician in our midst with Palin-like qualities and a strong fiscal track record like those in Indiana and Texas? Someone who has unassailable character and charisma?
And she will stop at nothing to destroy them and their ideology….The movement is online right now…It will be in the streets soon.
She doesn’t blink and neither can we.
I think your right Cotton, I do not see peace lasting until 2012
What we need to think about is who will be interm President until the fighting stops and elections can be held
Unfortunately many on the right, like Josephus here, still hold that political reconciliation with “the media and Psycho leftists” is posshble. It’s not. They’re Socialists.
I no longer believe that’s possible with anyone left of what is now being propagandized as the ‘center’ of American politics.
Is Palin the best choice?
I don’t know yet but I saw her in VA last year and she’s damned good.
We need an inspiring choice and no one else fits that yet.
If McCain had not picked her he would have lost FAR worse than he did lose.
Oh no. Don’t get me wrong Sully. I’m not one of these “big tent” GOPers who thinks we have to pander to media and these middle of the roaders. Screw ‘em. We got 47 million to vote for a lame candidate in McCain. We need only 5-6 million to convert.
What I’m saying is that if you pick Palin, you will waste all your time and resources fighting a two-front war…one vs. the Dems, one vs. the State-Run Media (you might have to fight it anyway). And here’s my real point:
If you bring someone entirely new to the scene you make THE DEMS have to prepare for that person. The Dems can game-plan their way to Palin RIGHT NOW. The media will trot all the same tired BULLSHIT. You have a person in Palin where America will have already forged an opinion — good or bad — and you have a deceitful, evil apparatus at work in Washington that will cheat, lie, buy, threaten, cajole, etc. to stay in power.
You say Palin will do what it takes to discredit them? With what? The wishy-washy head-in-the-sand GOP behind her? Karl Rove better step in at some point because these guys are clueless.
I’m saying START FROM SCRATCH.
New blood. New personalities. Our Conservative message packaged in a way that makes people wake up and understand that OUR PRINCIPALS are THEIR PRINCIPALS.
We know what the Left stands for. We need this great awakening to take place. All these Liberals scream about wiretaps and freedom of speech and yet they back a band of STATISTS?
But during the election I was SHOCKED at the number of WOMEN who were AGAINST Palin. I was astounded. And it was a mix of Conservative and Liberal. I really couldn’t put my finger on any group of women that supported her or didn’t based on political affiliations it kinda ran the gamut.
Finally: New blood. Make them fight someone they know nothing about and someone they haven’t already laid the groundwork against.
We mostly agree josephus but if you still think ANY Republican will not be subjected to the new political scheme of completely polarizing the opposition, you are mistaken.
I like Jindal, Perry and especially that Indiana Governor (whose name escapes me right now) but frankly, so far, I like Palin alot. She’s still got great polling despite the gauntlet she has run and I’ve seen her before a crowd and it works. When I went to her rally I took a friend along who, like myself at the time, didn’t expect much but got the real deal.
Troll
“We got 47 million to vote for a lame candidate in McCain. We need only 5-6 million to convert”
You moron, “WE” dont need to convert anyone. So many conservatives just did not vote and the ones who did only did because OF PALIN!! If McLame was not in the picture many more would have voted as there is no differance between BO and McLame. WE conservatives have the base and votes to win elections but WE just havent had a candidate to get behind, until now. WE need a true conservative to run and not have big tent rhinos pick them for us.
You smell of a big fat roll over rhino.
You call Palin a “gimmick”? then turn around and say we need someone with “Palin like qualities”?
Dont you get it that the left and media will go after anyone who is a true conservative? It doesnt matter, the more they go after the person the more it tells just how threatening they are.
PALIN IS AWESOME!!!!!
I don’t think any of you are taking into account the Acorn Factor
I hope your correct that there won’t be massive voter fraud. My gut tells me different
Nice to see you again American Women
Hey Sassy!!
I didnt say anything about voter fraud and yes there is plenty of it, how do you think BO won? The problem is it is not just ACORN anymore, there are tons of smaller groups just like it.
Honestly I think we are much like South America and Iran.
IF we did have an “election” WE conservative could win as we are the magority of the country. That is why we have these voter fraud groups.
Joes..
Also remember when BOs dirt came out early on in his 2 year campaign when it was push comes to shove and we “revisited” the issues people said they were tired of hearing about it, it was old news and they didnt care.
Palin has plenty of time to get out face to face and meet the people, she is not a politician and the MSM will have no reason to harp on her and frankly people will get tired of hearing about it.
Your logic still allows the left, MSM and rhinos pick our candidate.
Screw that!
Hey American Woman.
Yeah…CONVERT as in EDUCATE..ENLIGHTEN…AWAKEN.
Dunno where you live, but where I live, I’m surrounded by blind people, idiot Liberals and wishy-washy moderates. I have been working my ASS OFF to convert these people to our point of view with pure facts.
I’m not the moron. The morons are those sleeper cells of conservatives who exist out there and are too busy shouting la la la with their fingers in their ears. You tell people “Obama’s a Marxist” and they think you’re being partisan. These people HAVE NO IDEA that this country is going to be a smoldering ruin in four years and the media and the administration LIES TO THEM day in and day out. Their response: They all lie.
There are people who think like us and don’t realize it yet because the word “Conservative” or “Republican” is like a dirty word. Living in NYC I’d tell people where I sat politically and they would GASP. You ARE? Their reaction was like I had admitted to being a Nazi or something.
This is what you’re dealing with in most places in the Northeast.
So CONVERT…EDUCATE…AWAKEN..ENLIGHTEN…WARN…
Be the Paul Reveres here. The British are coming. Too many people are sitting around on their fat asses watching American Idol and not understanding what’s really happening.
I’ve had people I know who were supposedly Conservative vote for Obama because he supported Stem Cell Research because their kid has some rare disease. I sympathize with that, but I had to tell him: Dude, he’s gonna do more harm than good and this is what’s on tap (this was all before the Obamacare came to light).
Palin became the focus of the election instead of McCain. There’s no doubt she attracted a few voters and cost a few voters.
I thought the slings at her were bullshit and totally unfair. I voted for her and McCain.
We whip out Palin again and it’s gonna be more of the same.
You are up against a dangerous, cheating, corrupt team of people who will FIX ELECTIONS.
I just don’t see Palin being the person to blow away these people. Minds have already been made up for her and it’s clear where yours is. You show strong support.
That’s great. If she’s the candidate that we send up in 2012, I will support her. But until then, I’m asking WHO THE BEST WE’VE GOT? HAVE WE FOUND THAT PERSON YET?
WHO CAN DEFEAT EVIL?
Seems to me that the corruption is being exposed without Palin. As long as she stays away from the trilateral commission/ Zbigniew Brzezinski she is an outstanding candidate.
Correct me if I am wrong. Where in this article do the numbers show Palin beating Obama or Romney. I love Palin, but I just don’t see the numbers yet. I would have to agree with Puck30; she is going to gather steem now that she is out traveling the country. Go Palin!
Had McCain selected a different VP and won last year, and then had placed Palin in a cabinet position where her (alleged) fiscal genius and dedication to eradicating corruption had the opportunity to demonstrate itself on the national stage, she might have had a shot for 2012.
But with her emergence onto the national stage being what it was–and WOW was it lousy!–if she gets the party nomination, you will have another four years of The National Lawn Jockey.
Troll
Uh…someone misread the article. The poll numbers show Palin losing to Obama by 6 points.
Not that it really matters. Polls like this are just ridiculously stupid. Who cares about the presidential race for 2012. They are so far off and lots of things can change. The 2010 elections for the House seats are much much more important.
“The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%.”
Who comes up with the headlines around here? Helen Keller?
Ron Paul does.
I think Pat needs some no-doze.
The Palin Crushs Obama is the honey pot headline used to draw in the leetle Obot trolls for our pleasure….the next HP headline, Obama Resigns due to Cocaine Driven Homosexual tryst and murder!
And how is Romney care better than Obamacare?
Why wreck the world’s greatest health care system just to make a few communist happy.
This is all very fine if there is no manufactured crisis between September and October 2012.
Barry the Red was gifted with a $700+ billion political slush fund disguised as a stimulus by a POS Congress.
Now HE is the crisis.
Count on a crisis big enough to move Soetoro’s lose on health care off the front pages. They will do everything possible to hold Soetoro’s credibility in place. Even the dems know he is poison. The last one to know is MSM.
That tiny popping sound is the left-wingers little heads exploding.
I like her straight talk. She has my vote.
Guys, this is like football. You play an opponent once, you better have something different in the game plan for meeting No. 2.
Get my drift?
Palin’s gotta put in a whole new offensive and defensive scheme to face the Obamaniacs the Media all over again…plus change all the minds that have been made up.
All we have seen to date is the McCain managed Palin.
Wait six months after we have seen the Palin managed Palin and I think you will see a very different outcome in the polls !
I would be willing to see what happens if you are right.
Palin has brought in well over $2.5 million within the last 30 days and not the $750,000 reported on her 527 unofficially. They’ll average this out over the next four quarters but she is stalking here people.
She is a money making machine who is swimming below and is going to surface like the Nautilus. She is gonna spread that money around for the next 2.5 years in regional and state races and see how sturdy that foundation is for 2012. I’ve seen her and just about every other politico the last 25 some odd years and she has a certain presence that makes you want to throw money at her and folks do in a big way men and women alike.
The RNC should be embracing this Bill Gates of political money instead of wafting transfixed under ether to the left.
How could one summarily dismiss such energy and money generating power unless it was a threat let alone to BOTH parties? I don’t get it? To the RNC, this is like firing your best salesman.
Palin’s money is going to be pivotal in support of conservative Republicans in 2010 and the RNC better damn well set a place for her at the table. If Obama don’t pull this chit off which he’s not, the American people will embrace one of the more conservative efforts in history. We just have to make sure those who we allow to represent us don’t screw the pooch….not an option because I will be damned if we hit replay on this BS again.
Great Point Badger,
This guy is Jimmuh Carter.
This man can not appear anymore then he has.
His policies are doomed.
Hussein does not move the needle.
60 minutes on national TV? Not a budge on opinion.
Free infomercial by ABC and not a single point gained.
I was locked out of Sarah Palins speech at Shippensburg College PA.
I arrived at 10 AM in the morning and the line to get in was over 5000.
The line snaked around the building and was 3 hours deep.
Sarah Palin is what America wants.
Drive By Media knows it. That’s why they try to destroy her.
In case you didn’t notice…
Sarah Palin will be your next POTUS.
Why not let her run?
What’s the bid deal?
She’s got time to sort things out, get her feet under her and develop a strategy to go around the people who have already exposed themselves as the enemy of this nation.
I mean, if as so many of you have suggested, we are to bring a new candidate up to the fray, they will simply experience exactly what Sarah Palin has already gone through. Essentially they will bear the brunt of the Democrat Dirty Tricks Machine and the new guy will be exactly that, a noob.
At this point, Sarah has experienced the Democratic A-hole tactics and she’s still standing, so lets all take a breath, give her some room to maneuver and see if she has any gas left in the tank.
Three years is a long time and we should know soon enough if she has what it takes to get the job done, so no need to pronounce her dead before her political career is cold. I mean, that is unless you have some vested interest in her demise, right RINO’s and Dem douchebags?
So, kick the tires and light the fires Sarah.
The left is organized and determined to stay in power. We must organize! ACTIVE is a great start.
Using social networking and other similar means in addition to bringing awareness on the streets will help give us a chance against this current administration. They have no intention of giving up power and will try to destroy any emerging canditate.
According to Pulitzer Prize winning columnist
Cynthia Tucker, the Republican Party is being held hostage by a cadre of bigoted, conservative white people who refuse to acknowledge a simple truth:
“Sonia Sotomayor represents the future, not Sarah Palin.”
Oh gag…and who cares what THEY think…afterall look at what THEY just chose!
The Dems will bring the failures of Socialism and race-based ‘justice’.
Pick a ‘future’ America.
Out here in Fly over country we like Sarah because she is exactly that: country. The problem is she could win every rural district and lose big to the Urban coast media elitist. Let’s see how many Republican candidates ask her to campaign for them. If they are afraid of her then she goes Tea Party and draws large crowds, all bets are off on the demise of the third party.
Forget Republican vs Democrat, there isn’t that much difference between the two. Emphasize American Patriot vs Progressive/Socialist/Communist. The more we brand the left particularly that “Liberal” and “Progressive” means Socialist or Communist or both, they will be marked. It’s the only way to wake people up.
I forgot to mention. Who wrote that misleading Headline? It’s not in the Article on Rasmussen.
“The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%.
If Obama beats Palin by 6 points how does that “crush Obama”?