Pat Dollard

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The Cable:

Are you a fan of Barack Obama’s handling of major foreign-policy issues so far? If so, there’s a greater chance that you are a member of the Council on Foreign Relations than a member of the general public.

A new survey being released today by CFR and the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press shows that members of the Washington elite view the U.S. president’s stewardship of American foreign policy in a much more favorable light than the average observer on the street. On issues ranging from terrorism to climate change, Iran, Iraq, China, Guantánamo, even immigration, CFR members surveyed overwhelmingly approved of the president’s actions so far. Joe Sixpack? Not so much.

“The public expresses mixed views of Barack Obama’s foreign policy performance so far,” says the survey report, an advance copy of which was obtained by The Cable, “More approve than disapprove of his handling of terrorist threats and global climate change, but the balance of public opinion is negative when it comes to his handling of immigration policy, Afghanistan, Iraq and his decision to close the U.S. military prison in Guantanamo Bay.”

“Members of the Council on Foreign Relations offer far more positive assessments of Obama’s foreign policy in almost all areas.”

Entitled “America’s Place in the World,” the survey polled more than 600 members of CFR and 2,000 members of the general public, comparing expert and amateur perceptions of not only Obama’s performance one year in, but also their views on many of the top foreign-policy issues of the day.

The disparity was actually quite large. For example, 83 percent and 81 percent of CFR members approved of Obama’s handling of Iraq and Guantánamo, respectively, whereas the general public gave approval ratings of 41 and 39 percent on those issues.

Obama’s work on Iran, climate change, terrorism, and China were all rated in the 70s by the experts, dozens of points higher than when rated by people without a full-time job in foreign affairs. Only 33 percent of the ordinary Americans surveyed praised Obama’s work related to the rise of China.

The one issue where both groups have a majority negative opinion of Obama’s foreign policy? Afghanistan. Only 42 percent of CFR members and 36 percent of the general public approved of Obama’s work on that issue, although to be fair, that was before he announced his new strategy on Tuesday.

Predictably, the range of opinions in the general public fell largely along party lines. Interestingly, “On several issues, the ratings offered by independents are substantially closer to the views of Republicans than the views of Democrats,” the survey reports.

With the experts, that’s hard to tell because the CFR members weren’t required to identify their political affiliations. But, “[w]hen asked to name the best things about Obama’s handling of foreign policy, Council on Foreign Relations members overwhelmingly cite the administration’s emphasis on engagement and diplomacy.”

The experts also seemed to focus on optics rather than results: 80 percent said they approved of Obama’s decision to alter missile-defense plans in Eastern Europe and 59 percent liked his Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy.

Pew Research Center President Andrew Kohut and CFR Director of Studies James M. Lindsay commissioned the survey.