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Republicans Continue To Reject Mit Romney In New Poll: Cain 30%, Romney 22%



Oct 12, 2011 1 Comment ›› Pat Dollard

Public Policy Polling:

Yesterday PPP released numbers showing Herman Cain leading Mitt Romney 30–22 in Iowa and our monthly look at the national picture finds the exact same numbers. Cain is up 30–22 on Romney with Newt Gingrich sneaking past Rick Perry for 3rd place at 15% to Perry’s 14% with Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul tied for 5th at 5%, Jon Huntsman 7th at 2%, Rick Santorum 8th at 1%, and Gary Johnson 9th with less than 1%.

Strong Tea Party support has Cain in the driver’s seat nationally, just as he has been on our last four individual state polls. With non-Tea Party Republicans Romney actually leads Cain 29–27. But with the Tea Party crowd Cain is getting 39% with Gingrich at 16%, Perry at 14%, and Romney in 4th place at 13%. Romney doesn’t need to win the Tea Partiers to be the Republican nominee. But he does need to finish better than 4th with them.

There are indications within the poll that Cain’s stay at the top could be short lived. Only 30% of his supporters are solidly committed to him with 70% saying they might still go on to support someone else. Those numbers aren’t much better for Romney, who only has 31% of his supporters solidly committed, or Gingrich, who only has 34% solidly committed. The strongest base of support among the Republican front runners — even if it’s shrinking — is Perry’s — 48% of his remaining backers say they’ll definitely vote for him. Overall 70% of Republicans are either undecided right now or open to voting for someone different than who they’re with now — that signals an extremely wide open race.


  • mike3481

    If that guy Romney didn’t have the common sense to understand that a collectivist health-care system, Romney-Care, always fails, then why should any voter trust him?

    If Romney didn’t have the leadership ability to persuade the people of Massachusetts that the above was a bad idea then he doesn’t have the leadership ability to fix the politically caused problems in America.   Every major problem in America is political.

    And then there’s the nightmare that Romney actually believes that Romney-Care failed in Massachusetts because it wasn’t tried on a larger scale, you know, nationally, like Obama-care.

    Romney’s 20 years too late and the Republican ruling class establishment has to surrender to American Conservatives or they’re finished.