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Feb 28, 2012 11 Comments ›› Angelia

The Globe And Mail:

Mitt Romney powered to victory in the Arizona primary Tuesday night and narrowly beat Rick Santorum in Michigan, after bidding for a two-state sweep and precious momentum in the most turbulent Republican presidential race in a generation.

Two other candidates, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, made little effort in either state, pointing instead to next week’s 10-state collection of Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses.
Mr. Romney’s Arizona triumph came in a race that was scarcely contested, and he pocketed all of the 29 Republican National Convention delegates at stake in the winner-take-all race.

Michigan was as different as could be — a hard-fought and expensive battle in Mr. Romney’s home state that he could ill afford to lose and Mr. Santorum made every effort to win.

Returns from 62 per cent of Michigan’s precincts showed Romney at 40 per cent and Santorum at 36 per cent. Paul was winning 11 per cent of the vote to 7 per cent for Gingrich.

In Michigan, 30 delegates were apportioned according to the popular vote. Two were set aside for the winner of each of the state’s 14 congressional districts. The remaining two delegates were likely to be divided between the top finishers in the statewide vote.

With his victory in Arizona, Mr. Romney had 152 delegates, according to The AP’s count,, compared to 72 for Mr. Santorum, 32 for Mr. Gingrich and 19 for Mr. Paul. It takes 1,144 to win the nomination at the Republican National Convention in Tampa next summer.

In interviews as they left their polling places, Michigan voters expressed a notable lack of enthusiasm about their choices. Just 45 per cent said they strongly favored the candidate they voted for, while 38 per cent expressed reservations and 15 per cent said they made the choice they did because they disliked the alternatives.

The lengthening GOP nomination struggle has coincided with a rise in Democratic President Barack Obama’s prospects for a new term. A survey released during the day showed consumer confidence at the highest level in a year, and other polls show an increase in Americans saying they believe the country is on the right track.

Along with the improving economy, the long and increasingly harsh campaign, in which Gingrich and Santorum have challenged Romney as insufficiently conservative, has prompted some officials to express concern about the party’s chances of defeating Obama in the fall.

Exit polling showed a plurality of Republican voters in both Michigan and Arizona saying the most important factor to them in the primaries was that a candidate be able to beat Mr. Obama in November. Mr. Romney won that group in Michigan, where it mattered most, and also prevailed among voters in the state who said experience was the quality that mattered most.

Mr. Santorum ran particularly well among voters who cited a desire for strong conservatism or strong moral character.

The polls surveyed both primary day and absentee or early voters. Interviews were conducted at 30 polling places in each state. Early results from Arizona’s poll included interviews with 1,617 voters, including 601 absentee or early voters interviewed by phone. In Michigan it was 2,133 interviews including 412 absentee or early voters interviewed by telephone. The margin of sampling error for both polls was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Not even the opening of polls on Tuesday brought an end to the squabbling between the two leading Republicans.

Mr. Romney accused Mr. Santorum of trying to hijack a victory in Michigan by courting Democratic votes through automated telephone calls and suggested his rival was appealing to conservatives by making the kind of “incendiary” statements he would not.

“I’m not willing to light my hair on fire to try and get support,” Mr. Romney said. “I am what I am.”

Mr. Santorum brushed aside the allegations of hijacking, saying Mr. Romney had appealed for support from independents in earlier states.

“We’re going to get voters that we need to be able to win this election. And we’re going to do that here in Michigan today,” Mr. Santorum said, referring to blue collar voters with a history of swinging between the parties.

The exit poll said about 10 per cent of the day’s Michigan primary voters were Democrats.

If nothing else, the unexpected clash on Mr. Romney’s home field dramatized that two months into the campaign season — after nearly a dozen primaries and caucuses — the GOP race to pick an opponent for President Barack Obama remains unpredictable.